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Commercial Real Estate Christmas Coal: Office Debt (The Big Point)

Professor Glenn A. Okun

The Rabid Capitalist: The Big Point is a brief summary of a detailed note available to paid subscribers.

A working paper published by NBER estimated that approximately half of the office loans held by banks exceed the value of the underlying asset.  The Rabid Capitalist warned its subscribers in July that these assets, loans and lenders were facing devastation as a result of interest rates, maturity schedules, hybrid work and reduced tenant space needs (see https://therabidcapitalist.com/2023/07/25/bank-lending-diet-or-starvation/).

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